In calculating safety stock, you state that lead
times are determined externally. Is the lead time given to you by
the customer (which could vary enormously from customer to customer
for the same SKU) or internal lead times for replenishment of inventory
of the SKU?
Depending on where the safety stock policy is set, the leadtimes
are determined by the production or distribution process. For example,
if Plant A takes three months to produce and ship a product to Distribution
point XY, the lead time for safety stocks here is three months for
setting inventory policy at Distribution Point XY. To be consistent,
the safety stock at XY is based on the demand forecast error at
this DC. This demand forecast error will be a function of the individual
customer demand forecast errors at this DC.
To answer this question, the leadtime for setting safety stock
at this DC does not depend on the customer lead time, just the production
and transportation internal lead time. However, the forecast error
at this DC will be subject to the vagaries of fluctuating customer
demand. The key is to remember that the safety stock is set based
on the source lead time. The following chart may be helpful:

In the above is XY is the our Distribution Point and YZ is the
factory. MX is the customer's Receiving point. The lead time for
the customer to receive the product is 3 weeks from our Distribution
Point XY. The lead time for our DC to receive the product from the
factory including production and shipping is 5 weeks. With this
set up,
| 1. |
The safety stock in XY will use LT = 5 weeks. It does not
matter what the lead time is between XY and MX, the customer's
distribution point.
|
| 2. |
The safety stock in MX will use LT = 3 weeks. The customer
DC MX does not care about the manufacturer's internal lead time. |
If you carefully notice, we assume that the factory does not have
any finished goods inventory of its own and all of the finished
product is shipped to the DC. If the factory does carry its own
inventory, then the LT at XY will be shorter than five weeks.
|